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Welcome to My Personal Finance Journey! If you are new here, please read the “About” or “First-Time Visitor” pages to find out more about us. If you would like to receive free updates on articles like this by email, then sign up here or you can subscribe to the RSS feed. Also, check us out on Twitter or Facebook. Thanks for visiting! Keep on learning!
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One thing that has been on my blog radar for quite some time now is to start putting together a weekly roundup. For about 5 months now, I’ve had a general idea about what theme I wanted the ongoing roundup series to have, what I wanted to include as far as content, and the overall purpose.
What’s the purpose, you might be asking? Simple! I feel like with a roundup, I’ll be able to connect with you, the readers, on a more personal (non personal finance informational transmission only) level, encourage community, and also to give back to the other bloggers around the blogosphere who have mentioned My Personal Finance Journey throughout the past week.
As far as the theme goes, the title of the roundup gives it away. The roundup theme is named after the Lionel Richie song, Easy Like Sunday Morning, to remind us of the importance of slowing down at least once a week to take appreciation for that which transpired over the past few days.
So, without further ado, let’s get started!
| Yours truly in my lab explaining the Alzheimer’s research I do to my parents during a tour. |
If you’re interested in submitting an article for consideration/inclusion to this roundup, just email me by clicking here. Since I’m only 1 guy without a time-machine to give me unlimited time each day, sometimes I miss some really good articles in the blogosphere, and it’s good to be notified of them directly.
There were no guest posts from other PF bloggers on My Personal Finance Journey this week. Let’s change that, shall we?
If you’re an individual PF blogger (not a company that has a blog) and would like to guest post on my site, please click here to read more details about how to kick off the guest posting process. I’d love to hear from you!
For the first 6 months after I started this blog, I pretty much “blogged in a cave.” What I mean by this is that I cranked out over 200 very good blog articles in this time period, but since I didn’t know any better, I didn’t reach out to other bloggers, get involved with the online community through commenting on other sites, or do any kind of site promotion at all. As you can imagine, some of the articles written during this time period didn’t get the attention that I think they deserved corresponding to the content contained.
The Blast from the Past section will feature one old My Personal Finance Journey article each week that I feel is high quality, but was published prior to my blog having any sort of real readership. This week’s article is listed below:
Ways for Parents to Give Their Children a Head Start in Life
Every once in a while, when I’m reading an article or site in the personal finance blogosphere, I’ll be so impressed in hearing about what a person did or wrote about, that all I can say to myself is WOW! This section of the roundup will serve as a running “home” for recognizing outstanding achievement.
The winner this week is J. Money from Budgets Are Sexy. He won head-over-heels more Plutus Awards at this year’s Financial Blogger Conference than anyone else, runs an incredibly entertaining blog, and spearheads the charitable Love Drop event on top of being a full-time blogger.
If you know of someone in the PF blogging world that is really doing amazing things, feel free to send me an email for consideration in future roundups.
However, I have several other domain names purchased, and I am currently learning WordPress Self-Hosted to get these sites live as soon as time allows! I’ll be sure to keep you all updated on progress.
Well, that wraps up this week! If you have any suggestions or recommendations for things you’d like to see in this weekly roundup, just let me know by sending me an email!
As always, thanks to all the readers for creating such a great community here at My Personal Finance Journey. Your interaction is what keeps me going on this blog!
Until next time – Jacob
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Welcome to My Personal Finance Journey! If you are new here, please read the “About” or “First-Time Visitor” pages to find out more about us. If you would like to receive free updates on articles like this by email, then sign up here or you can subscribe to the RSS feed. Also, check us out on Twitter or Facebook. Thanks for visiting! Keep on learning!
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Happy Saturday everyone! It’s a beautiful day here in Virginia, where the clouds that have lingered over the East Coast of the US have finally lifted, and we have sunshine and 70 degree F weather!
I wanted to let everyone know of an interview I did that was published today by our friend, Shaun, over at Smart Family Finance. Just click on the link below to view the interview.
Interview at Smart Family Finances.com – Personal Finance Issues and Concerns Faced by Engineers and Scientists
As the title of the interview mentions, the questions discussed and answered relate to the specific debt accumulation and money saving financial issues encountered by scientists (especially scientists just beginning their careers). Overall, these problems are caused by the ability of scientists and engineers to earn MUCH HIGHER than average starting salaries at a very young age, often before they are financially mature.
The specific questions that are answered are listed below. Be sure to head on over and check it out!
I hope you all enjoy the interview. Please let me know if you have any questions!
***Photo courtesy of http://www.flickr.com/photos/rocknroll_guitar/3841235072/sizes/l/in/photostream/
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Welcome to My Personal Finance Journey! If you are new here, please read the “About” or “First-Time Visitor” pages to find out more about us. If you would like to receive free updates on articles like this by email, then sign up here or you can subscribe to the RSS feed. Also, check us out on Twitter or Facebook. Thanks for visiting! Keep on learning!
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The following is a guest post. Enjoy!
How about you all? Do you think that liability insurance is needed for businesses these days? If you own a business, do you carry a liability insurance policy?
Share your experiences by commenting below!
Jacob’s Thoughts – Listed below are my random thoughts as I was reading this article.
***Photo courtesy of http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2795/4122171512_3f4dc612d0.jpg
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Welcome to My Personal Finance Journey! If you are new here, please read the “About” or “First-Time Visitor” pages to find out more about us. If you would like to receive free updates on articles like this by email, then sign up here or you can subscribe to the RSS feed. Also, check us out on Twitter or Facebook. Thanks for visiting! Keep on learning!
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The following is a guest post. Enjoy!
Just how important is home insurance? Are contents and building insurance really necessary? Home insurance is vitally important and must include contents and buildings insurance if you want your home to be fully protected.
Home insurance should be a central part of your planning for the future. Should your house be severely damaged by storms or fire, or robbed and vandalized by an intruder who steals valuable items, how would you financially cover repairs and replacement costs without the assistance of your home insurance coverage?
Home insurance protects your property, but also your financial stability. Facing the costs of repairing extensive damage or replacing stolen valuables without any help from a home insurance payout would be a daunting prospect and one that must be avoided. The simple answer is to secure strong home insurance which incorporates both contents and building insurance.
Contents insurance provides important cover for all of the valuable items in your home, from your top of the line TV to your expensive jewelry. Sadly, burglaries are a common crime, particularly when the early dark nights of winter draw in.
You’ve worked hard for your home and property, why wouldn’t you cover everything contained within its walls with contents insurance? Contents insurance provides cover for your valuables against storms, fire, theft, attempted theft, and vandalism.
Should you be an unfortunate victim of a natural disaster, accident or crime, your contents insurance will pay money towards repairs or replacements. Be certain not to underestimate the worth of your valuables. It makes sense to pay for more expensive contents insurance that provides the strongest possible cover for your property.
Buildings insurance is equally important. It covers your house and all outbuildings like sheds, garages, and greenhouses against damage caused by severe weather conditions like heavy snowfall or storms.
It also covers accidents like fires and crime and vandalism. Likewise, the bursting of water pipes, leaking of gas pipes, broken roof tiles and chimneys, and the accidental breaking of windows are also usually covered by buildings insurance. Check each considered policy carefully for what is covered.
Needless to say, house repairs can be quite expensive. Buildings insurance is the best way to ensure you are covered for all those accidents and emergencies that are impossible to foretell and which would otherwise be a huge financial drain. Home insurance incorporating contents and building insurance provides peace of mind and protection for your home, family and finances.
Note from Jacob: It’s important to realize that even with home insurance coverage, you should still maintain an adequate emergency fund and home maintenance account in order to cover your home insurance deductible, other expenses that would endanger your earnings ability, and routine house maintenance that does not require tapping in to your home insurance.
How about you all? Do you have home insurance currently on your house? Do you feel it’s worth the cost? Have you ever had to tap in to your home insurance? Were fewer repair and replacements covered than you anticipated?
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Welcome to My Personal Finance Journey! If you are new here, please read the “About” or “First-Time Visitor” pages to find out more about us. If you would like to receive free updates on articles like this by email, then sign up here or you can subscribe to the RSS feed. Also, check us out on Twitter or Facebook. Thanks for visiting! Keep on learning!
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As we all get geared up for the weekend, I just wanted to take moment to wish happy and safe travels to all of my financial blogging friends that are going to the Financial Blogger Conference in Chicago this weekend.
Unfortunately, my schedule didn’t allow me to be able to attend, but I look forward to hearing all about everyone’s learnings and fun stories about meeting face to face after blogging in different parts of the country and world over the past year or two!
So, have fun and be safe friends!
***Photo courtesy of http://viewology.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Thai-Airasia-HS-AAJ-Boeing-737-Plane-Landing-Photo-6-500×334.jpg
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Welcome to My Personal Finance Journey! If you are new here, please read the “About” or “First-Time Visitor” pages to find out more about us. If you would like to receive free updates on articles like this by email, then sign up here or you can subscribe to the RSS feed. Also, check us out on Twitter or Facebook. Thanks for visiting! Keep on learning!
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If you’ve read this blog before or are familiar with the blog carnival I created, The Carnival of Passive Investing, you’re probably aware that I’m not a big fan of being heavily invested in individual stocks.
The reason for this is that in my mind, investing in individual stocks is more of a speculative activity, rather than investing. After all, 70% of actively managed money fails to outperform the market indices. Due to these considerations, most of my retirement funds are invested in passively managed index mutual funds.
However, having said this, I am also very fascinated with the idea of being able to select winning individual stocks (I’m just not convinced enough to place my entire future on it). One of my hobbies is to investigate new stock trading methodologies to see if they are effective over long-term periods. In fact, I often enjoy using small denominations of funds (what I call play money) to invest in individual stocks to see how these methodologies work. An example of one of these investigations I did was a look at Phil Town’s Rule Number 1 stock trading system.
Needless to say, I’m always on the lookout for new and exciting tools that can give stock traders an advantage that will enable them to profit. One of these tools that I’ve been exposed to recently is the Chaikin Power Gauge Stock Rating Widget.
Since this widget provides ratings of the common stocks of individual companies, I couldn’t resist briefly ranting about the current state of stock ratings that we all see in the newspapers and financial press…
As you’re probably already aware, this current system of having “analysts” (I love how vague this term is – why don’t they specify who the analyst is or what company they work for?!) rate stocks is laughable at best due to the intense conflicts of interest present in the system. What exactly creates this conflict of interest? Well, as far as I know, the analysts that rate company stocks work for the same big investment banking houses that get paid millions (if not billions) of Dollars by the publicly traded companies receiving the rating for their investment banking work. In other words, the analysts doing the ratings are paid by the same companies they are paid to rank…Crazy, uh? In my opinion, this is the ultimate in conflicting interests!
In fact, I’d venture a guess that the current analyst ratings of individual stocks are about as trustworthy as a politician promising to set up a colony on Mars if he or she is elected President of the United States. End rant..
The Chaikin Stock Rating Widget is embedded below (you can use it directly on this webpage, or any webpage where you see it, which is a cool feature!). To try it, enter any stock symbol in the entry box and hit enter.
Once you enter a stock ticker symbol and hit the “enter” button, the following qualitative and quantitative details will be generated automatically for you on the widget.
If after reading the information displayed on widget, you decide that you want more information, you can click “For details on this stock, click here” to request a free 4-page stock report sent instantly via email. When I requested a 4-page detailed report on Southwestern Energy as a test, I was pleasantly surprised at how many details are delivered in the report. Pretty cool stuff for being free!
So, if you’re like me, right now, you’re probably thinking, “This widget sounds great and easy to use, Jacob, but whether or not it actually works is what I really need to know!”
In my opinion, this widget could potentially be used in one of two ways.
However, I have a plan to see if we can find out…This should be most interesting!
Listed below is a “mixed bag” of 10 of the 30 Dow Jones Industrial Average companies from different industries. Along with the name of each company, I’ve also listed the current stock price per share, ticker symbol, and the Chaikin Power Gauge Rating from the last week of September, 2011. It’s interesting to note that the widget doesn’t predict that a single one of these stocks will go up in the next 3-6 months.
I’ve placed two reminders on my Outlook calendar – one in 3 months from now and one from 6 months – to check the performance of these stocks since this posting. I’ll plan to update this post with how the performance does or doesn’t match what was predicted below by the widget at that time. Should be very interesting!
3M (MMM) – $74 – Very Bearish
American Express (AXP) – $46.45 – Neutral – Trend Down
Boeing (BA) – $59.51 – Neutral
Coca-Cola (KO) – $67.39 – Bearish
ExxonMobil (XOM) – $69.30 – Neutral – Trend Down
The Home Depot (HD) – $33.72 – Neutral
Merck (MRK) – $31.04 – Neutral – Trend Down
Wal-Mart (WMT) – $50.79 – Neutral – Trend Down
Disney (DIS) – $29.81 – Neutral – Trend Down
Microsoft (MSFT) – $25.06 – Neutral – Trend Down
How about you all? Have you ever used the Chaikin Stock Rating widget or any other similar tool for analyzing stocks? If so, which ones? How well have you found they work?
Share your experiences by commenting below!
Note: This review was sponsored monetarily by Chaikin Power Tools. However, the views and opinions expressed represent my honest evaluation of the product.
***Photo courtesy of http://www.chaikinpowertools.com/
As you’re probably already aware, most real estate agents are paid on a percentage-based commission structure of the overall sale value of the associated home or real estate. Typically, this percent commission is around 6%, with 3% going to the selling-agent’s firm and the other 3% going to the buying-agent’s firm.
Begin mild-ranting about the current real estate agent commission structure…
Due to the very nature of this commission structure, an immediate conflict of interest presents itself for the buying-agent. This is due to the fact that the buyer wants to pay as low of a price as possible for the property investment, but the agent will receive less money if he or she secures his or her buyer a lower price. Of course, if you find a professional agent, the expectation is that the buyer’s agent will act in your best interest instead of solely for monetary gain. In fact, when I purchased my condominium last year, my full service buying agent acted very responsibly in trying to find me a reasonable place for the best price possible. End complaining.
So, the bottom line is that with regular real estate agents, the seller can expect to give away about 6% of the money he or she receives from the buyer to pay for real estate agent services (this does not include closing fees of course). While 6% may not seem like a ton of money (after all, we pay waiters and waitresses 15% commission on the food we buy), if you are selling your $500,000 McMansion house, you’re looking at shelling out close to $30,000 to the real estate agents in one transaction. Looking at numbers like this, you can really see how potentially lucrative being an effective real estate agent can be!
Recently, while driving my car around town or riding my bike through the countryside, I’ve begun to see more and more “FOR SALE” signs popping up advertising that the seller of the property is using a 1% commission real estate agent to assist in selling the property. Here in Virginia, one of the popular 1% commission companies I often see is Equity Saver USA.
Clearly, these sellers weren’t all too willing and anxious to fork over the hefty 6% real estate agent fee and were looking for an alternative. In seeing these signs, I began to wonder several things that I wanted to examine in today’s post –
All of you have most likely heard the age-old adage that states, “You get what you pay for.”
Translating this to the current investigation, my initial thought would be that if you decided to use a 1% commission agent to sell your home, you’d get a worse service with fewer actions taken on your behalf. However, according to 1% commission agent websites, they are able to offer the same services as 6% commission agents for a lower cost because they use a model that takes advantage of technological resources that were not available 20 years ago when 6% commissions were the norm.
Because of this potential discrepancy, I feel it’s important for us to take a look at exactly what types of services 1% commission agents offer. The following services were listed on 1% commission agent, Equity Saver USA’s, website. The description of some of the services are adapted slightly for increased readability.
Looking at the list of services that 1% commission agents offer above, it seems to me that at least officially, these 1% commission real estate agents offer all of the services that I would need in an agent if I were to ever sell my condo. They even offer full MLS listing, which is a key feature in today’s “online” real estate shopping market.
However, my worry in blindly using a 1% commission real estate agent to sell my condo lies in the unsaid importance of the “unofficial” services that real estate agents/brokers offer. In other words, I would be concerned about whether or not I’ll be forced to end up selling my home below market value if I don’t obtain these unofficial services.
In the town in which I live, most of the condos for sale that are equivalent to the one I’ll be looking to sell when I finish graduate school are being offered through Better Homes and Garden Realty, a normal full service 6% commission real estate brokerage.
Now, let’s say that I put my condo on the market using a 1% commission broker. It doesn’t take much stretch of the imagination to expect that a powerhouse like Better Home and Garden won’t be too thrilled about my 1% commission broker “stabbing the industry in the back” by charging 5X less than they are for the same services. Let’s now assume that Joe Smo, a new person in town, is looking to buy a condo in the range of the list price of my condo, but doesn’t know the area and just wants a place that will work, be safe, and is in his price range. Joe Smo, at the advice of a colleague, obtains the help of a 6% commission real estate agent to show him around.
Since there are SO many places on the market now with the economy the way it is, it again doesn’t take too much of a stretch of the imagination to envision that the agent helping Joe Smo could merely opt not to show Joe my place, in favor of helping the cause of his or her other 6% commission agent friends who are still being “true” to the real estate community. Sure, the agent would gladly show Joe my condo if he found it listed on MLS (a service included with 1% commission agents) and specifically requested to see it. But, this might not happen since Joe is new to the area.
In my opinion, it is highly likely that this unsaid, unofficial stuff takes place every day in the real estate business. And, being on the wrong side of it can be quite detrimental to obtaining a high resale value for your home.
In order to find a more definitive answer to this hypothesis, I performed an Internet search to try to find any studies that have been conducted on the effectiveness/performance of 1% commission real estate agents compared to “normally” priced ones. However, there were no studies to be found. So, we are unfortunately left with only speculation at this point (sigh).
As I was analyzing the situation above, I began to think back on the days that I spent studying abroad in Spain in 2008. During the two months or so I was there, I lived with a family that owned the majority of the small apartment complex in which they lived. And, I began wondering whether or not people (such as mi familia en Espana) engaging in an overseas property investment (outside of the United States) encounter and have to deal with the same types of real estate agent commission issues that we do here.
In general, from what I found in looking around various online resources, 1% commission agents are definitely available for selection in other countries. For example, I found several 1% agents operating out of Canada – one in Toronto and one in Ontario. I also found a 1% commission agent operating out of Falls Church, New Zealand (I’d really like to visit NZ someday by the way!). In these countries, the “normal” rate for real estate agent commissions seemed to be somewhere between 5-8%, which seems to be about in-line with the US.
However, I read that in some instances in Europe (Spain, Bulgaria, and Cyprus), commissions paid to real estate agents can be as high as 25%! Wild stuff! I just hope that my family I lived with in Spain didn’t have to pay this much!
Drawing from the various findings of this post, several key takeaways present themselves to me.
First, while I have no doubt that a 1% commission agent can technically provide the same MLS listing and property promotion services that a 6% commission agent could, I think that the “real estate society” isn’t quite ready to part with 6% commissions, which will make it difficult for now at least to use a 1% commission agent. This is especially true in today’s “buyer’s market” where property prices are going down and down, yet the properties seem to be unable to be sold. I know this is definitely the case right now in my neighborhood.
Second, I do honestly believe that eventually, real estate agent commissions will trend down and that 1% commissions will become “accepted” in the community. This would be similar to the downward shift in stock trading commissions experienced in recent years with the advent of the deep discount brokerage. Related to this trend, I’d also be interested in keeping an eye out for any data analyses/studies that come out comparing the performance of 1% commission agents to “traditional” ones. I think that would really provide a necessary insight in to the current situation.
How about you all? Have you ever used a 1% commission real estate agent? If so, do you feel there were as effective as a traditionally-priced agent? If you’ve stayed away from 1% agents, what specifically were your concerns?
Share your experiences by commenting below!
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Welcome to My Personal Finance Journey! If you are new here, please read the “About” or “First-Time Visitor” pages to find out more about us. If you would like to receive free updates on articles like this by email, then sign up here or you can subscribe to the RSS feed. Also, check us out on Twitter or Facebook. Thanks for visiting! Keep on learning!
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The following is a guest post. Enjoy!
Identity theft costs American consumers and businesses almost 50 billion Dollars annually. In 2009, more than 11 million people were victims of identity theft and lost an average of almost $5000 per person. This type of crime is growing at a rapid pace due to the sophistication of hacking groups and the ability of thieves to sell private information on the internet. As more personal information moves online with social media and technology like “the cloud”, identity theft may even become an even bigger problem. With regular monitoring of your financial data, it is possible to catch the theft in progress and stop it before serious damage is done. So, how can you spot it?
Keeping close tabs on your credit report is important if you’re going to notice any activity that seems abnormal. Your credit report shows your entire credit history, and you should be able to spot anything fraudulent.
The best place to check all 3 of your credit reports (from the three biggest credit reporting agencies – Equifax, Transunion, or Experian) is Annualcreditreport.com. The Fair Credit Reporting Act (which was recently amended in 2010) allows all people to have free access to their credit information (report), one time per year. You can check all three reports free of charge and search for activity that looks suspicious. Your good credit score can be seriously damaged by fraudulent activity, so keeping a close watch on it is important. However, viewing your credit score is not included in the one time per year free credit report viewing.
Your credit report shows all open and closed credit accounts, all the way back to when you opened your first credit card or paid your first utility bill. If you see anything that you don’t recognize, it may be the result of identity theft. The FTC recommends that consumers check their credit at least once per year to make sure it doesn’t contain any fraudulent activity.
Other signs of identity theft may include:
– Phone calls or mail saying you have been approved for credit cards or loans that you did not apply for.
– Missing financial mail like bank or credit card statements.
– Bills and/or credit card charges for items you did not purchase.
If you do notice suspicious activity on your credit file, you can have a fraud alert placed on your report. This alert will help stop any unauthorized use of your credit. There are 2 types of fraud alerts, an “initial alert” and an “extended alert”.
An initial alert is put on your credit file for around 90 days. This is a step you might take if you believe your personal information may have been stolen and could be used fraudulently. If you know you are a victim of identity theft already, you may need to file an extended alert which will stay on your credit file for 7 years. This means that creditors must contact you before issuing any new credit in your name.
You will also need to close any accounts that were opened in your name. You can contact the fraud department of the company that issued the account and explain your situation. Keep a record of all correspondence with the company. It may be important to have proof of any agreements that you have made about your case.
You also may want to file a complaint with the FTC and the police. This can help law enforcement find the perpetrators of the theft and prevent any further illegal activity with your credit.
Credit monitoring is a service which can be purchased through a credit bureau like Equifax, Transunion, or Experian. This service will alert you any time new accounts are opened or suspicious activity occurs on your credit file. This would include the application for new credit cards, loans or mortgages, or the opening of an account with a mobile phone provider. Some companies that provide credit monitoring will also insure you for losses that result from identity theft. The amount you will be covered for varies with each company and monitoring plan.
Identity theft is a serious problem that can be very expensive and time consuming to deal with. There are measures you can take before a theft happens to lessen the chance that you will be a victim. Regular monitoring of your credit report and financial information will help you notice illegal activity before it turns into something more serious.
How about you all? Have you ever been a victim of identity theft? If so, what steps did you take to correct it? Have you ever noticed any unauthorized charges on your credit cards?
What steps do you take to protect yourself from identity theft? How often do you check your credit report?
Share your experiences by commenting below!
Jacob’s Thoughts – Listed below are my random thoughts as I was reading this article.
***Photo courtesy of http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2285/1594411528_1512b1aad5.jpg
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Welcome to My Personal Finance Journey! If you are new here, please read the “About” or “First-Time Visitor” pages to find out more about us. If you would like to receive free updates on articles like this by email, then sign up here or you can subscribe to the RSS feed. Also, check us out on Twitter or Facebook. Thanks for visiting! Keep on learning!
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This following is a member post by me that was posted on Yakezie.com back in June of this year. I wanted to post it here as well so that you all would have a copy. Enjoy!
A topic that is commonly discussed these days in the personal finance community is something called, “The Lost Decade.” In fact, while I was recently reading several financial magazines, I found out that many would-be experts would have us believe that the past 10 years were completely useless for investors. Quite a bold statement if you ask me!
After reading these statements, I began to wonder, “What facts do the actual numbers dictate to us?” This analysis will be the topic of today’s post.
For those of you unfamiliar with the phrase, “The Lost Decade,” it basically is referring to the fact that during the past ten years, the stock market has fluctuated up and down, but has only gone up 0.48% overall from start to finish. This performance can be seen from the Google Finance screenshot of the S&P 500 index below.
Now, I’m definitely not going to argue that a 0.48% return spread over 10 years is good. Quite the opposite, actually. Earning a 0.48% return is ridiculous! If an investor was to just earn this return, it would be quite accurate to call the 10 year period, The Lost Decade. After all, you could have earned more by merely investing in an online bank savings account!
However, my disagreement with this phrase/name stems from my belief that it does not capture the actual way that the majority of individual investors save (or should save) for retirement.
OK, so if I’m not quite ready to jump to labeling the past decade as “The Lost Decade” because it doesn’t capture the way that most investors save money, just how do I believe people go about tackling the beast we know as “investing?”
In my opinion, when it comes to squirreling away the money that matters for retirement, most people invest using dollar cost averaging (or something similar). This strategy involves investing a specific amount of money (or specific % of your income) each month. By doing this, an investor can accumulate shares of the investment he or she specifies at varying price levels, with more shares being purchased during stock market declines and fewer shares being purchased at higher prices.
Because dollar cost averaging results in ownership of shares purchased at many different price levels, further analysis is required before we place a label on the past decade.
After several iterations of trying to decide on the most effective way to demonstrate this, I decided on two hypothetical portfolios – a basic portfolio and an expanded portfolio.
Both portfolios have the following shared characteristics:
However, the two portfolios diverge in regards to the specific mix of investments used to achieve the 75%/25% overall asset allocation split.
The basic portfolio invests only in two assets – 1-year Treasury Bills (T-bills) for the fixed income portion of the portfolio and an S&P500 index fund for the equity piece.
The expanded portfolio uses the exact same index mutual fund asset class selection as I do currently, as shown in the list below. All investments are assumed to be Vanguard index mutual funds, except for the T-bills portion.
Note: All Vanguard mutual fund historical price data was downloaded from Yahoo Finance for the analysis.
This asset class mix/investing strategy was the result of multiple books about Modern Portfolio Theory, including A Random Walk Down Wall Street by Burt Malkiel, Stocks for the Long Run by Jeremy Siegel, and What Wall Street Doesn’t Want You to Know by Larry Swedroe.
1. % Cash (T-bills Target 5%)
2. % Non-Inflation Protected Bond Funds (Target 15%)
3. % TIPS Bonds – (Target 5%)
4. % International Equity (Target 11%)
5. % International Emerging Markets (Target 11%)
6. % Domestic Large Cap (Target 8%)
7. % Domestic Small Cap (Target 8%)
8. % Domestic Small Cap Value (Target 14%)
9. % Domestic Large Cap Value (Target 13%)
10.% REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust – Target 10%)
As you can see in the list above, instead of just having one equity or fixed income asset class (like T-bills or the S&P 500), there are MANY! In addition, we have also added both international and emerging market index funds in to the mix.
I hypothesized that since these different asset have a correlation that does not equal 1, the expanded portfolio would offer a higher return for a given level of risk, consistent with the Efficient Frontier hypothesis/phenomena.
“So, enough talk, Jacob, what did you find out as your results?!”
The complete results of my analysis can be reviewed and downloaded at the shared Google Docs spreadsheet below. Enjoy!
Google Docs Spreadsheet – Was The Lost Decade Really Lost For Investors? – Analysis
However, a summary of my findings can be found in the table below.
The results of the basic portfolio with the application of dollar cost averaging were somewhat disappointing, with a total return over the past ten years of only 12%. However, this is still definitely better than a 0.48% overall return! During the ten years, we saw that by using this investing strategy, your money would have grown to a current value of ~$79,000.
The results of the expanded portfolio were surprisingly much better. I guess I always have read that this asset allocation stuff works, but have never done this in-depth of an analysis to determine just HOW effective it is!
A total return of 55% was realized over the 10 years. While this is not the 10% yearly average return that the stock market has provided since the 1800’s, it is a 351% increase in return compared to the basic portfolio. Quite amazing! The ending value of the portfolio was almost $30,000 higher than the basic strategy.
It is important to realize that the expanded portfolio value standard deviation did increase by 50%, so it was not completely a free lunch. The increased standard deviation was most likely contributed by the small cap, small cap value, and emerging market funds, as these are generally regarded as higher risk investments.
Now that the dust has settled (or maybe a more accurate saying would be that the spreadsheet electrons have settled) from this analysis, let’s take a step back and see what sort of conclusions we can draw. Several of the key ones I could think of are listed below:
How about you all? How did your investments perform over the past decade? Was it actually a “lost decade” for you?
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The following is a guest post. Enjoy!
Many focus on the obvious costs of transport and accommodation, forgetting about more mundane necessities like travel insurance. While the bulk of your vacation planning, and therefore required holiday budget may vary considerably, there are several important rules of thumb when it comes to selecting travel insurance that can save you money in certain circumstances – and sometimes this can mean significant cash.
How about you all? Do you generally purchase travel insurance when you go on trips, purchase rental cars, book hotel rooms, or book plane tickets? Do you feel travel insurance is worth the cost?
Share your experiences by commenting below!
Jacob’s Thoughts – Listed below are my random thoughts as I was reading this article.
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